Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsFluminense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
20%
59%
Corinthians winDrawFluminense win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.80
1.02Avg goals scored1.76
1.65Avg goals conceded1.41
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

2.2

Fluminense xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Fluminense

Fluminense

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Fluminense?

Fluminense is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win21%
Draw20%
Fluminense Win59%
BTTS62%
Over 2.566%