Corinthiansvs
Grêmio
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Corinthians xG
Expected goals
1.2
Grêmio xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
0–1
11%
1–0
11%
0–0
9%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
Home
Corinthians
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.6
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Grêmio
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Grêmio?
Corinthians is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Corinthians's current form?
Corinthians have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Brazilian Série A