Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
27%
36%
Corinthians winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game0.40
1.02Avg goals scored0.98
1.65Avg goals conceded1.40
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

1.2

Grêmio xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

11%

0–0

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Grêmio?

Corinthians is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win37%
Draw27%
Grêmio Win36%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%