Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
24%
46%
Corinthians winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
1.02Avg goals scored1.32
1.65Avg goals conceded1.47
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

1.6

Mirassol xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–2

7%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Mirassol is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win30%
Draw24%
Mirassol Win46%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%