Corinthiansvs
Vitória
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Corinthians xG
Expected goals
1.7
Vitória xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
0–2
8%
1–0
7%
2–1
7%
Home
Corinthians
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.6
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Vitória
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Vitória?
Vitória is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Corinthians's current form?
Corinthians have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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