Coritibavs
Athletico-PR
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Coritiba xG
Expected goals
3.4
Athletico-PR xG
84%
Both Teams to Score
91%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
6%
2–3
6%
1–2
5%
1–4
5%
2–2
5%
2–4
5%
Home
Coritiba
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Athletico-PR
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Athletico-PR?
Athletico-PR is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Coritiba's current form?
Coritiba have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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