Match Analysis

CoritibavsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
15%
64%
Coritiba winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.40Avg goals scored2.00
2.21Avg goals conceded1.65
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

3.4

Athletico-PR xG

84%

Both Teams to Score

91%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

6%

2–3

6%

1–2

5%

1–4

5%

2–2

5%

2–4

5%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

WDLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Athletico-PR?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win21%
Draw15%
Athletico-PR Win64%
BTTS84%
Over 2.591%