Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Coritiba xG
Expected goals
3.6
Flamengo xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
10%
0–4
9%
0–2
8%
1–3
8%
1–4
7%
0–5
6%
Home
Coritiba
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Flamengo
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Flamengo?
Flamengo is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Coritiba's current form?
Coritiba have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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