Match Analysis

CoritibavsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
8%
88%
Coritiba winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
1.40Avg goals scored2.13
2.21Avg goals conceded0.64
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

3.6

Flamengo xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

10%

0–4

9%

0–2

8%

1–3

8%

1–4

7%

0–5

6%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win4%
Draw8%
Flamengo Win88%
BTTS54%
Over 2.581%