Match Analysis

CoritibavsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
23%
48%
Coritiba winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.40
1.15Avg goals scored0.98
2.53Avg goals conceded1.40
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

1.9

Grêmio xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Grêmio?

Grêmio is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win29%
Draw23%
Grêmio Win48%
BTTS64%
Over 2.564%