Match Analysis

CoritibavsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
15%
71%
Coritiba winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.40
1.40Avg goals scored1.81
2.21Avg goals conceded1.11
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

3

Santos xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–2

6%

0–3

6%

1–4

6%

0–4

5%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Santos

Santos

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Santos?

Santos is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win14%
Draw15%
Santos Win71%
BTTS69%
Over 2.580%