Match Analysis

CoritibavsVitória

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
20%
51%
Coritiba winDrawVitória win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.40Avg goals scored1.32
2.21Avg goals conceded1.37
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

2.2

Vitória xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Vitória

Vitória

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Vitória?

Vitória is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win29%
Draw20%
Vitória Win51%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%