Match Analysis

CruzeirovsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
21%
26%
Cruzeiro winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.40
1.93Avg goals scored1.77
1.07Avg goals conceded1.26
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Cruzeiro xG

Expected goals

1.4

Bahia xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–0

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Cruzeiro is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cruzeiro's current form?

Cruzeiro have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cruzeiro Win53%
Draw21%
Bahia Win26%
BTTS66%
Over 2.568%