Match Analysis

CruzeirovsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
30%
41%
Cruzeiro winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.94Avg goals scored1.40
1.07Avg goals conceded0.55
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Cruzeiro xG

Expected goals

1.1

Palmeiras xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

15%

0–0

14%

1–1

13%

1–0

12%

0–2

8%

1–2

7%

Home

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cruzeiro's current form?

Cruzeiro have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cruzeiro Win29%
Draw30%
Palmeiras Win41%
BTTS40%
Over 2.532%