Cruzeirovs
Palmeiras
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Cruzeiro xG
Expected goals
1.1
Palmeiras xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
15%
0–0
14%
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–2
8%
1–2
7%
Home
Cruzeiro
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Palmeiras
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cruzeiro's current form?
Cruzeiro have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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