Match Analysis

FlamengovsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

73%
14%
13%
Flamengo winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.20
2.11Avg goals scored2.00
0.86Avg goals conceded1.71
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

1.3

Athletico-PR xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

2–0

6%

3–0

6%

4–1

6%

1–1

5%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Athletico-PR?

Flamengo is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win73%
Draw14%
Athletico-PR Win13%
BTTS69%
Over 2.581%