Flamengovs
Atlético-MG
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Flamengo xG
Expected goals
0.7
Atlético-MG xG
39%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
17%
1–1
12%
2–0
12%
0–0
11%
2–1
9%
0–1
8%
Home
Flamengo
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Atlético-MG
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Atlético-MG?
Flamengo is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Flamengo's current form?
Flamengo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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