Match Analysis

FlamengovsAtlético-MG

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
25%
17%
Flamengo winDrawAtlético-MG win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.00
2.13Avg goals scored1.44
0.64Avg goals conceded0.84
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

0.7

Atlético-MG xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

17%

1–1

12%

2–0

12%

0–0

11%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Atlético-MG?

Flamengo is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win58%
Draw25%
Atlético-MG Win17%
BTTS39%
Over 2.538%