Match Analysis

FlamengovsCorinthians

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

87%
9%
4%
Flamengo winDrawCorinthians win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.40
2.13Avg goals scored1.02
0.64Avg goals conceded1.65
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

0.5

Corinthians xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

14%

2–0

13%

4–0

11%

1–0

8%

2–1

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Corinthians

Corinthians

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Corinthians?

Flamengo is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win87%
Draw9%
Corinthians Win4%
BTTS38%
Over 2.570%