Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Flamengo xG
Expected goals
0.5
Grêmio xG
36%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
15%
3–0
13%
1–0
12%
4–0
9%
2–1
8%
3–1
7%
Home
Flamengo
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Grêmio
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Grêmio?
Flamengo is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Flamengo's current form?
Flamengo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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