Match Analysis

FlamengovsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

83%
12%
5%
Flamengo winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.40
2.13Avg goals scored0.98
0.64Avg goals conceded1.40
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

0.5

Grêmio xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

15%

3–0

13%

1–0

12%

4–0

9%

2–1

8%

3–1

7%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Grêmio?

Flamengo is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win83%
Draw12%
Grêmio Win5%
BTTS36%
Over 2.560%