Match Analysis

FluminensevsCruzeiro

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
21%
48%
Fluminense winDrawCruzeiro win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
1.76Avg goals scored1.93
1.41Avg goals conceded1.07
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

2.1

Cruzeiro xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Cruzeiro?

Cruzeiro is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win31%
Draw21%
Cruzeiro Win48%
BTTS70%
Over 2.571%