Match Analysis

FluminensevsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
20%
23%
Fluminense winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.60
1.76Avg goals scored1.32
1.41Avg goals conceded1.47
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

1.4

Mirassol xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Mirassol?

Fluminense is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win57%
Draw20%
Mirassol Win23%
BTTS68%
Over 2.571%