Match Analysis

FluminensevsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
22%
43%
Fluminense winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
1.76Avg goals scored1.81
1.41Avg goals conceded1.11
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

1.9

Santos xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

0–2

5%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Santos

Santos

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Santos?

Santos is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win35%
Draw22%
Santos Win43%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%