Grêmiovs
Athletico-PR
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Grêmio xG
Expected goals
2.1
Athletico-PR xG
66%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
0–2
7%
1–3
7%
2–2
7%
0–1
6%
Home
Grêmio
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Athletico-PR
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Athletico-PR?
Athletico-PR is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Grêmio's current form?
Grêmio have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Brazilian Série A