Match Analysis

GrêmiovsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
26%
40%
Grêmio winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
0.98Avg goals scored1.32
1.40Avg goals conceded1.47
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Grêmio xG

Expected goals

1.4

Mirassol xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Mirassol?

Mirassol is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Grêmio's current form?

Grêmio have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Grêmio Win34%
Draw26%
Mirassol Win40%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%