Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Grêmio xG
Expected goals
1.6
Palmeiras xG
36%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
18%
0–2
14%
0–0
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–3
8%
Home
Grêmio
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Palmeiras
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Grêmio's current form?
Grêmio have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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