Match Analysis

GrêmiovsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
25%
62%
Grêmio winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
0.98Avg goals scored1.49
1.40Avg goals conceded0.67
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Grêmio xG

Expected goals

1.6

Palmeiras xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

18%

0–2

14%

0–0

11%

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–3

8%

Home

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Grêmio's current form?

Grêmio have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Grêmio Win13%
Draw25%
Palmeiras Win62%
BTTS36%
Over 2.538%