Grêmiovs
Vasco da Gama
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Grêmio xG
Expected goals
1.7
Vasco da Gama xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
11%
1–1
11%
0–2
10%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
1–0
7%
Home
Grêmio
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Vasco da Gama
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama?
Vasco da Gama is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Grêmio's current form?
Grêmio have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Brazilian Série A