Match Analysis

InternacionalvsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
20%
24%
Internacional winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
1.16Avg goals scored1.40
1.35Avg goals conceded2.21
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Internacional xG

Expected goals

1.4

Coritiba xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Internacional

Internacional

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internacional vs Coritiba?

Internacional is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internacional's current form?

Internacional have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Internacional Win56%
Draw20%
Coritiba Win24%
BTTS67%
Over 2.570%