Match Analysis

MirassolvsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
20%
46%
Mirassol winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.32Avg goals scored2.00
1.47Avg goals conceded1.65
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

2.2

Athletico-PR xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–3

5%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

WDLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Athletico-PR?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win34%
Draw20%
Athletico-PR Win46%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%