Mirassolvs
Atlético-MG
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Mirassol xG
Expected goals
1.6
Atlético-MG xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
1–1
12%
0–2
10%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
1–0
7%
Home
Mirassol
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Atlético-MG
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Atlético-MG?
Atlético-MG is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mirassol's current form?
Mirassol have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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