Match Analysis

MirassolvsAtlético-MG

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
25%
52%
Mirassol winDrawAtlético-MG win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.32Avg goals scored1.44
1.47Avg goals conceded0.84
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

1.6

Atlético-MG xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Atlético-MG?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win23%
Draw25%
Atlético-MG Win52%
BTTS50%
Over 2.548%