Match Analysis

MirassolvsBotafogo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
24%
22%
Mirassol winDrawBotafogo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
1.32Avg goals scored0.93
1.47Avg goals conceded1.52
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

1

Botafogo xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Botafogo?

Mirassol is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win54%
Draw24%
Botafogo Win22%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%