Match Analysis

MirassolvsSão Paulo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
26%
23%
Mirassol winDrawSão Paulo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
1.32Avg goals scored0.84
1.47Avg goals conceded1.30
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

0.9

São Paulo xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

1–1

12%

2–0

10%

0–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

São Paulo

São Paulo

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs São Paulo?

Mirassol is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win51%
Draw26%
São Paulo Win23%
BTTS46%
Over 2.543%