Match Analysis

PalmeirasvsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

81%
12%
7%
Palmeiras winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
1.49Avg goals scored1.40
0.67Avg goals conceded2.21
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Palmeiras xG

Expected goals

0.7

Coritiba xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

3–0

11%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

4–0

8%

Home

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Coritiba?

Palmeiras is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Palmeiras's current form?

Palmeiras have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Palmeiras Win81%
Draw12%
Coritiba Win7%
BTTS48%
Over 2.570%