Match Analysis

PalmeirasvsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
31%
41%
Palmeiras winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.60
1.49Avg goals scored2.13
0.67Avg goals conceded0.64
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Palmeiras xG

Expected goals

1.1

Flamengo xG

37%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

16%

0–0

15%

1–1

13%

1–0

12%

0–2

9%

1–2

7%

Home

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Palmeiras's current form?

Palmeiras have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Palmeiras Win28%
Draw31%
Flamengo Win41%
BTTS37%
Over 2.530%