Palmeirasvs
Flamengo
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Palmeiras xG
Expected goals
1.1
Flamengo xG
37%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
0–0
15%
1–1
13%
1–0
12%
0–2
9%
1–2
7%
Home
Palmeiras
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Flamengo
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Flamengo?
Flamengo is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Palmeiras's current form?
Palmeiras have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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