Match Analysis

Red Bull BragantinovsChapecoense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
26%
24%
Red Bull Bragantino winDrawChapecoense win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.00
0.84Avg goals scored0.98
1.33Avg goals conceded2.10
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Red Bull Bragantino xG

Expected goals

1

Chapecoense xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

0–1

8%

Home

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Red Bull Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

Red Bull Bragantino is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Red Bull Bragantino's current form?

Red Bull Bragantino have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Red Bull Bragantino Win50%
Draw26%
Chapecoense Win24%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%