Match Analysis

Red Bull BragantinovsVasco da Gama

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
24%
57%
Red Bull Bragantino winDrawVasco da Gama win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.20
0.84Avg goals scored1.66
1.33Avg goals conceded1.15
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Red Bull Bragantino xG

Expected goals

1.7

Vasco da Gama xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

0–2

12%

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

0–3

7%

Home

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Red Bull Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama?

Vasco da Gama is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Red Bull Bragantino's current form?

Red Bull Bragantino have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Red Bull Bragantino Win19%
Draw24%
Vasco da Gama Win57%
BTTS45%
Over 2.546%