Match Analysis

SantosvsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
22%
27%
Santos winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
1.84Avg goals scored1.47
1.25Avg goals conceded1.22
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Santos xG

Expected goals

1.4

Bahia xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Santos

Santos

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Bahia?

Santos is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win51%
Draw22%
Bahia Win27%
BTTS64%
Over 2.564%