Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Santos xG
Expected goals
0.8
Botafogo xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
12%
1–0
10%
2–1
9%
3–0
9%
1–1
8%
3–1
8%
Home
Santos
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.1
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Botafogo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Santos vs Botafogo?
Santos is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Santos's current form?
Santos have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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