Match Analysis

SantosvsBotafogo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

73%
16%
11%
Santos winDrawBotafogo win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.20
1.81Avg goals scored0.93
1.11Avg goals conceded1.52
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Santos xG

Expected goals

0.8

Botafogo xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

8%

Home

Santos

Santos

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Botafogo?

Santos is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win73%
Draw16%
Botafogo Win11%
BTTS50%
Over 2.562%