Match Analysis

SantosvsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
19%
14%
Santos winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.40
1.84Avg goals scored0.98
1.25Avg goals conceded1.40
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Santos xG

Expected goals

0.9

Grêmio xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

7%

Home

Santos

Santos

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Grêmio?

Santos is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win67%
Draw19%
Grêmio Win14%
BTTS53%
Over 2.560%