Match Analysis

SantosvsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
28%
41%
Santos winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.60
1.81Avg goals scored1.49
1.11Avg goals conceded0.67
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Santos xG

Expected goals

1.2

Palmeiras xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

1–0

11%

0–0

10%

1–2

8%

0–2

7%

Home

Santos

Santos

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win31%
Draw28%
Palmeiras Win41%
BTTS47%
Over 2.540%