São Paulovs
Corinthians
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
São Paulo xG
Expected goals
1
Corinthians xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
11%
0–1
11%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
Home
São Paulo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Corinthians
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.6
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win São Paulo vs Corinthians?
São Paulo is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is São Paulo's current form?
São Paulo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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