Match Analysis

São PaulovsFluminense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
24%
54%
São Paulo winDrawFluminense win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
0.84Avg goals scored1.76
1.30Avg goals conceded1.41
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

São Paulo xG

Expected goals

1.7

Fluminense xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

11%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

São Paulo

São Paulo

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Fluminense

Fluminense

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win São Paulo vs Fluminense?

Fluminense is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is São Paulo's current form?

São Paulo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

São Paulo Win22%
Draw24%
Fluminense Win54%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%