São Paulovs
Fluminense
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
São Paulo xG
Expected goals
1.7
Fluminense xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
11%
1–1
11%
0–2
10%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
1–0
7%
Home
São Paulo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Fluminense
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win São Paulo vs Fluminense?
Fluminense is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is São Paulo's current form?
São Paulo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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