Match Analysis

São PaulovsInternacional

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
30%
39%
São Paulo winDrawInternacional win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
0.84Avg goals scored1.16
1.30Avg goals conceded1.35
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

São Paulo xG

Expected goals

1.1

Internacional xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

1–0

12%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

São Paulo

São Paulo

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Internacional

Internacional

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win São Paulo vs Internacional?

Internacional is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is São Paulo's current form?

São Paulo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

São Paulo Win31%
Draw30%
Internacional Win39%
BTTS42%
Over 2.535%