Vasco da Gamavs
Corinthians
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Vasco da Gama xG
Expected goals
0.9
Corinthians xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
11%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–1
8%
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
Home
Vasco da Gama
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Corinthians
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.6
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians?
Vasco da Gama is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vasco da Gama's current form?
Vasco da Gama have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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