Vasco da Gamavs
Coritiba
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.2
Vasco da Gama xG
Expected goals
1.2
Coritiba xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
3–0
7%
2–0
6%
4–1
6%
1–1
5%
Home
Vasco da Gama
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Coritiba
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba?
Vasco da Gama is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vasco da Gama's current form?
Vasco da Gama have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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