Match Analysis

Vasco da GamavsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
13%
11%
Vasco da Gama winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.40
1.66Avg goals scored1.40
1.15Avg goals conceded2.21
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.2

Vasco da Gama xG

Expected goals

1.2

Coritiba xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

3–0

7%

2–0

6%

4–1

6%

1–1

5%

Home

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba?

Vasco da Gama is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vasco da Gama's current form?

Vasco da Gama have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vasco da Gama Win76%
Draw13%
Coritiba Win11%
BTTS67%
Over 2.581%