Vasco da Gamavs
Flamengo
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Vasco da Gama xG
Expected goals
1.8
Flamengo xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
0–2
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
0–3
7%
Home
Vasco da Gama
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Flamengo
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.6
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?
Flamengo is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vasco da Gama's current form?
Vasco da Gama have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Brazilian Série A