Match Analysis

Vasco da GamavsInternacional

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
22%
19%
Vasco da Gama winDrawInternacional win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.80
1.66Avg goals scored1.16
1.15Avg goals conceded1.35
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Vasco da Gama xG

Expected goals

1

Internacional xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

10%

1–1

10%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Internacional

Internacional

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?

Vasco da Gama is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vasco da Gama's current form?

Vasco da Gama have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vasco da Gama Win59%
Draw22%
Internacional Win19%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%