Match Analysis

VitóriavsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
21%
43%
Vitória winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.32Avg goals scored2.00
1.37Avg goals conceded1.65
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Vitória xG

Expected goals

2.1

Athletico-PR xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Vitória

Vitória

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

WDLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vitória vs Athletico-PR?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vitória's current form?

Vitória have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vitória Win36%
Draw21%
Athletico-PR Win43%
BTTS75%
Over 2.576%