Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Vitória xG
Expected goals
2
Cruzeiro xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
8%
0–2
8%
1–3
7%
2–1
6%
Home
Vitória
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Cruzeiro
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vitória vs Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vitória's current form?
Vitória have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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