Match Analysis

VitóriavsFluminense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
22%
43%
Vitória winDrawFluminense win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
1.32Avg goals scored1.76
1.37Avg goals conceded1.41
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Vitória xG

Expected goals

1.8

Fluminense xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Vitória

Vitória

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Fluminense

Fluminense

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vitória vs Fluminense?

Fluminense is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vitória's current form?

Vitória have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vitória Win35%
Draw22%
Fluminense Win43%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%