Match Analysis

VitóriavsRed Bull Bragantino

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
26%
21%
Vitória winDrawRed Bull Bragantino win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.40
1.32Avg goals scored0.84
1.37Avg goals conceded1.33
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Vitória xG

Expected goals

0.9

Red Bull Bragantino xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

1–1

12%

2–0

10%

0–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

Home

Vitória

Vitória

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vitória vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Vitória is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vitória's current form?

Vitória have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vitória Win53%
Draw26%
Red Bull Bragantino Win21%
BTTS46%
Over 2.543%