Match Analysis

VitóriavsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
22%
52%
Vitória winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.40
1.32Avg goals scored1.81
1.37Avg goals conceded1.11
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Vitória xG

Expected goals

1.9

Santos xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–3

6%

Home

Vitória

Vitória

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Santos

Santos

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vitória vs Santos?

Santos is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vitória's current form?

Vitória have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vitória Win26%
Draw22%
Santos Win52%
BTTS62%
Over 2.562%