1. FC Union Berlinvs
Borussia Dortmund
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected goals
3.5
Borussia Dortmund xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
13%
0–2
11%
0–4
11%
0–5
8%
1–3
7%
0–1
6%
Home
1. FC Union Berlin
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 3.1
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is 1. FC Union Berlin's current form?
1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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