1. FC Union Berlinvs
Hamburg SV
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected goals
1.5
Hamburg SV xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
14%
1–1
12%
0–2
10%
0–0
9%
1–2
9%
1–0
8%
Home
1. FC Union Berlin
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Hamburg SV
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburg SV?
Hamburg SV is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is 1. FC Union Berlin's current form?
1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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