Match Analysis

1. FC Union BerlinvsRB Leipzig

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
5%
92%
1. FC Union Berlin winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
0.92Avg goals scored3.30
3.10Avg goals conceded0.91
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected goals

4

RB Leipzig xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

12%

0–4

12%

0–2

9%

0–5

9%

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

Home

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 3.1

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.3 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is 1. FC Union Berlin's current form?

1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

1. FC Union Berlin Win3%
Draw5%
RB Leipzig Win92%
BTTS39%
Over 2.583%